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Canada Elections 2025: Political Shifts and Their Impact on USD/CAD
Canada Elections 2025: Political Shifts and Their Impact on USD/CAD
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The 2025 Canadian elections loom as a pivotal event for currency markets, with the USD/CAD pair poised for volatility. Political uncertainty under a resurgent Liberal Party—now led by Mark Carney—threatens to disrupt trade relations and monetary policy stability. A Conservative victory could buoy the CAD through renewed trade optimism, while a Liberal win risks exacerbating tensions and further weakening the loonie.
Bank of Canada rate cut speculation adds another layer of pressure as inflation cools. Currency traders are pricing in divergent outcomes, with CAD liquidity thinning ahead of the vote. The elections may redefine Canada’s fiscal trajectory at a time when global risk sentiment remains fragile.
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